ECB President Trichet Voted Financial Time's Person of the Year (page 2 of 2)
- Monday, December 24 - 2007 at 22:08
British Pound Falls to Record Low Against the Euro
In the fifth consecutive day of weakness, the British pound fell to a record low against the Euro and a 4 month low against the US dollar. With most traders out for the holidays, the trends that began last week have continued well into this week. No one is willing to stick their hand out and start picking a bottom in the British pound this late in the year. Instead many traders are probably happy to end the breakeven and will take this opportunity to collect themselves before start over again in January. As UK economic data continues to show signs of weakness, there are no buyers left in the market. This morning, Hometrack reported 0.3 percent decline in house prices in the month of December, which is the biggest drop in 3 years. They also predict that the number of closings will fall by 17 percent and that prices will rise by just 1 percent next year. The housing market has been the back bone of UK growth for many years and now that this sector of the economy is crumbling, growth could suffer greatly in 2008.
Rally in Stocks Drives the Yen Lower and Australian, New Zealand and Canadian Dollars Higher
Since Friday, the Dow has rallied 300 points and that strength has helped to take the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars higher against both the Japanese Yen and US Dollar. Commodity prices are basically unchanged on the day which indicates that the fluctuations of these currency pairs are largely driven by risk appetite. Of course that too is distorted given the lack of liquidity across the financial markets today. Either way, the Dow and USDJPY are breaking their 100-day SMA which suggests that these gains should continue for the remainder of the week. There are Japanese data scheduled for release Monday and Tuesday night. These reports which include the BSI manufacturing index, the corporate service price index and supermarket sales will not be market moving. Also, the BoJ minutes will simply reinforce what the market knows already, which is that interest rates in Japan will remain low for a very long time.
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Kathy Lien, Chief Strategist, Daily FX



