3 Reasons Why the Euro Weakened (page 2 of 2)
- Thursday, January 17 - 2008 at 02:26
Australian, New Zealand and Canadian Dollars Continue to Weaken
Broad dollar strength and falling commodity prices have pushed the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars lower. New Zealand consumer prices rose by 3.2 percent on an annualized basis in the fourth quarter, which was stronger than expected, but that has failed to lift the Kiwi. Australia will be releasing its labor market report this evening. Although it may be difficult to match the healthy numbers reported in November, we still believe that Australia will report solid job growth. Later in the day, Canada will be releasing their report of international securities transactions. Foreign purchases of Canadian securities dropped significantly in the month of November, so a rebound is expected.
Carry Trades See Sharp Intraday Reversal
Sharp volatility in the stock market has triggered sharp moves in carry trades. Most of the Japanese Yen crosses fell to fresh lows in early European trading but they managed to recover all of those losses and then some throughout late European and US trading sessions. Japanese economic data was mixed with machine orders and CGPI beating expectations but the trade numbers fell short of expectations. The recent Yen strength is expected to take a big toll on exports. Last year, Japanese automaker Toyota unseated Ford as the world's number 2 automaker by sales. If the Yen remains strong, we would not be surprise to see Ford steal the title back from Toyota in 2008.
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Kathy Lien, Chief Strategist, Daily FX



