• HSBC

Global corporate FDI plans on hold, but FDI opportunities remain in the Middle East

  • United Arab Emirates: Monday, January 25 - 2010 at 17:00
  • PRESS RELEASE

FDI flows globally will likely remain disappointing through 2011, according to the 2010 A.T. Kearney Foreign Direct Investment Confidence Index, a regular assessment of senior executive sentiment at the world's largest companies.

Unlike many emerging markets, the economies of the Middle East fared well and investor confidence is even higher than in past years. The top destination in the region, the United Arab Emirates, home to Dubai and Abu Dhabi, held up well in spite of a flurry of negative publicity during the survey period.

Conducted regularly since 1998 by global management consulting firm A.T. Kearney, the Index provides a unique look at the present and future prospects for international investment flows. Companies participating in the survey account for more than $2 trillion in annual global revenue.

China remains the top-ranked destination by foreign investors, a title it has held since 2002. The United States retakes second place from India, which had surpassed it in 2005. India, Brazil and Germany complete the top five favored investment destinations.

For the first time, the three major emerging markets—China, India and Brazil—all ranked among the top four investment destinations as investors expect these countries to continue to deliver growth despite the economic crisis. Investors also reported the highest degree of optimism in the outlook for these three countries, with nearly one-third seeing a more positive outlook for China (32%) and India (31%) compared to one year ago, and 22% saying Brazil's outlook had improved. In contrast, investor outlook for the United States was decidedly more negative, with 22% of executives having more negative outlook for the country than a year ago.

The largest consumer markets in the Middle East, Saudi Arabia and Egypt, entered the FDI Confidence Index for the first time, indicating investors' interest in the increasingly affluent consumers in these countries. The Middle East fared well in this year's index, where UAE, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and the Other Gulf States, feature among the top 25 FDI destinations. The survey ranks UAE 11th globally and as the preferred destination in the Middle East.

"The UAE's number 11 ranking indicates that investors both have grasped the importance of the Middle East and North Africa region with its 500 million consumers and that they expect the Emirates in general, with Dubai as the preferred entry point, to continue to be the leading hub for investments to the rest of region. Other Gulf States (referring to Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, and Qatar) improved their ranking in comparison to the 2007 FDI confidence index,"

said Dr. Dirk Buchta, A.T. Kearney, managing director, Middle East.

Additionally he added, "Other Gulf States (referring to Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, and Qatar) improved their ranking in comparison to the 2007 FDI confidence index."
Dr. Dirk Buchta, A.T. Kearney, managing director, Middle East.
Dr. Dirk Buchta, A.T. Kearney, managing director, Middle East.
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Notes and Media Contacts »

About A.T. Kearney:
A.T. Kearney is a global strategic management consulting firm known for helping clients gain lasting results through a unique combination of strategic insight and collaborative working style. The firm was established in 1926 to provide management advice concerning issues on the CEO's agenda. Today, we serve the largest global clients in all major industries. A.T. Kearney's offices are located in major business centers in 33 countries. During our 80 year history, we have provided management consulting services to most major corporations and governments around the world. From our fast growing Middle East offices in Abu Dhabi, Bahrain, Dubai and Riyadh, A.T. Kearney actively contributes to the operational excellence and profitable growth of industries and services in the region. www.atkearney.ae.

About A.T. Kearney Foreign Direct Investment Confidence Index:
The FDI Confidence Index® was constructed using primary data from a proprietary survey administered to senior executives of the world's leading corporations. The respondents were selected from the Global 1,000 population, and the largest corporations in emerging economies. Participating companies represent 44 countries and span 17 industry sectors across all six inhabited continents. Together, the companies comprise more than $2 trillion in annual global sales and more than $35 trillion in global assets. They are responsible for more than 75% of global FDI flows. Respondents included not only C-level executives, but also regional and business heads. The survey was conducted in October through December 2009.

The Index was calculated as a weighted average of the number of high, medium and low responses to questions about the likelihood of direct investment in a market over the next three years. Index values are based on non-source country responses. For example, the Index value for the United States was calculated without responses from investors based in the United States. Higher index values indicate more attractive investment targets.

Since the inception of the FDI Confidence Index in 1998, the 10 most attractive FDI destinations have consistently received 40% or more of global FDI inflows roughly one year after the survey. Over the same period, on average, the top five countries captured 35% of global FDI inflows, and the top 25 countries more than 70% of global inflows. There is an even stronger correlation between the Index rankings and future bricks-and-mortar FDI, especially after correcting for anomalies, such as those stemming from tax havens.

FDI flow figures are the latest statistics available from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). Other secondary sources of information used in this year's FDI Confidence Index include the International Monetary Fund, investment promotion agencies, central banks, ministries of finance and trade, and major periodicals.

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