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Tuesday, November 10 - 2009

HSBC warns of growing risks on US recession

  • United Arab Emirates: Monday, September 18 - 2006 at 15:36
  • PRESS RELEASE

In a series of exclusive presentations for HSBC's corporate customers in Dubai, David Bloom, Global Head, Market Strategy - HSBC Global Markets, based at Group headquarters in London, warned that there is growing risk of an outright recession in the US economy.

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  • Mr David Bloom, Global Head, Market Strategy - HSBC Global Markets
    Mr David Bloom, Global Head, Market Strategy - HSBC Global Markets
The visit to Dubai formed part of a regional tour by Mr Bloom, which included Oman and Qatar.

Mr. Bloom said: "Following the 2000-01 stock market crash, the US economy staged a miraculous recovery. That miracle is now ending. The US has become a "push-me, pull-you" economy: companies may be profitable but households, who have been the key drivers of growth, are in trouble. A cocktail of higher energy prices, tighter monetary policy, an end to tax cuts and, more recently, a housing market that appears to be in free-fall threatens to poison the upswing."

"Economic growth in the early years of this decade appears to have been built on the most fragile of foundations. Loose monetary and fiscal policies led to unwarranted gains in the housing market which are now beginning to reverse. The US is now facing an economic adjustment, with feast followed by famine. We are cutting our 2007 US growth forecast to just 1.9% and issuing a "recession risk" warning.

With little room for any further fiscal boost, Fed funds may drop to 4% by the end of 2007 and even lower in 2008 despite inflation remaining sticky in the short-term. Bonds will rally with 10 year yields down to 4.25%. The dollar, meanwhile, is heading lower," added Mr. Bloom.
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Notes and media contacts

Media inquiries to Dina Kotby, Press and Communications Executive, HSBC Bank Middle East Limited, on tel 04 3906634

1. About David Bloom
David is global head of foreign exchange strategy for HSBC. He has been with the Group for around fifteen years. Before taking up his current post, specialising in currencies and market strategies, David was the US economist for the Investment Bank at HSBC. He also has work experience within equity markets and the UK economy.
The HSBC strategy team is one of the best in the world with various survey's putting them consistently amongst the best. David is not afraid to express strong views and associated market strategies.
Coming from South Africa David worked his way through University in order to read for a Masters in Economics at London University. David then joined the investment banking side of HSBC in 1992 gaining economic and equity experience. In 1998, David took up his current post for HSBC Global Markets. David arrived in London in 1988 after completing an Honours degree from Witwatersrand University in Johannesburg South Africa.

2. HSBC Bank Middle East Limited
HSBC is the largest and most widely represented international bank in the Middle East. HSBC Bank Middle East Limited has 33 branches throughout the United Arab Emirates, Oman, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, Jordan, Lebanon, and the Palestinian Autonomous Area, including an offshore banking unit in Bahrain. This extensive regional coverage is strengthened by another member of the HSBC Group HSBC Bank Egypt SAE, and by its associated companies, The Saudi British Bank and British Arab Commercial Bank Limited. In addition to its Middle Eastern network, the Bank has a representative office in Tehran, Iran.

3. HSBC Holdings plc
HSBC Bank Middle East Limited has been a principal member of the HSBC Group since 1959. Serving over 125 million customers worldwide, the HSBC Group has some 9,500 offices in 76 countries and territories in Europe, the Asia-Pacific region, the Americas, the Middle East and Africa. With assets of US$1,738 billion at 30 June 2006, HSBC is one of the world's largest banking and financial services organisations. HSBC is marketed worldwide as 'the world's local bank'.

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