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40% probability of a small (3-5%) AED reval in 2007

The GCC central bank governors's meeting next week is a key focus. While we expect no immediate... Read full article »
United Arab Emirates: Monday, March 26 - 2007 at 09:06

Outlook 2007: From Great to Good

The outlook for 2007 remains positive. However, growth rates are likely to slow from their... Read full article »
Middle East: Wednesday, January 17 - 2007 at 12:52

Saudi Arabia: Reform continues

1) Strong economic performance in 2006. 2) Investments to drive growth going forward. 3) Some... Read full article »
Wednesday, December 13 - 2006 at 09:53

Iran: Troubling times ahead for the economy

1) Macroeconomic management continues to deteriorate. 2) Economic expansion is being driven by... Read full article »
Wednesday, December 13 - 2006 at 09:42

What if this time isn't different?

In May, we wrote about why we believe this time is different compared to the 1970s/1980s boom-to-... Read full article »
GCC: Wednesday, December 13 - 2006 at 09:24

Syria - Some positive signs amidst daunting challenges

1) There have been positive developments on the economic and reform fronts 2) Stronger growth... Read full article »
Monday, November 13 - 2006 at 13:00

Qatar - The boom continues

- Economic expansion remains buoyant - Diversification (internally and externally) supports... Read full article »
Monday, November 13 - 2006 at 12:27

Egypt - External soars

- Strong external performance feeding into the domestic economy - The government is forging... Read full article »
Monday, November 13 - 2006 at 12:12

Dubai Property: The brow of the hill

Concerns about property bubbles abound around the world. Dubai is no exception. In recent years,... Read full article »
United Arab Emirates: Monday, November 06 - 2006 at 08:36

Lebanon: Rebuilding all over again

1) The ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel remains fragile and a key area of risk going... Read full article »
Sunday, September 17 - 2006 at 13:36

Structural problems dampen Algeria's oil bonanza

1) Algeria has repaid nearly 90% of its Paris Club debt ahead of schedule. 2) Strong FX reserves... Read full article »
Sunday, September 17 - 2006 at 13:27

Dissecting Inflation

Inflationary pressures in the GCC have been increasing. To gain a better understanding of the... Read full article »
Sunday, September 17 - 2006 at 13:13

Afghanistan: The long road ahead

1) The economy is performing well in the backdrop of significant reforms. 2) However, there... Read full article »
Afghanistan: Thursday, August 03 - 2006 at 11:25

Are you really hedged?

GCC currency pegs are increasingly coming under scrutiny. This has significant implications for... Read full article »
Thursday, August 03 - 2006 at 11:23

Oman: Hydrocarbon sector to drive growth

1) Economic performance to remain robust. 2) The outlook will be supported by increased LNG... Read full article »
Thursday, August 03 - 2006 at 10:57
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