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    <title>Dubai house prices to spike in September</title>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 09 Aug 2007 14:07:39 +0400</pubDate>
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        This time last year this column predicted a house price spike in September, which did happen, and tended to suggest that might be it for Dubai house price rises. 
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    <title>The Optimists View of GCC Banking</title>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 19 Jul 2007 17:13:40 +0400</pubDate>
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        In <a href="http://www.ameinfo.com/126577.html">part one</a> of our short series on the likely future course of the regional banking industry after last year's traumatic stock market crashes, we examined the outlook should things go wrong. Here we look at the optimistic economic scenario of continued high oil prices and revenues, improving geopolitics and a slow deflation of the real estate boom. 
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    <title>How will the GCC banks cope if the future is bleak?</title>
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    <pubDate>Sun, 15 Jul 2007 14:44:27 +0400</pubDate>
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        In the first of a two part series looking at impact scenarios for GCC banks, we are going to look at what will happen if the future is bleak. What would happen if global stock and bond markets implode, oil prices crash, local stocks take another dive and the real estate sector crashes? 
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    <title>Inflation, rental costs and school places worry Gulf business</title>
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    <pubDate>Sun, 24 Jun 2007 11:10:35 +0400</pubDate>
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        The cost base for many businesses in the Gulf States has picked up sharply for many companies this year with staff demanding higher salaries and housing allowances to meet rampant general inflation, soaring rental costs and higher school fees.
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    <title>Geopolitics, gold and the oil price</title>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 19 Jun 2007 09:11:14 +0400</pubDate>
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        Instability in Nigeria is the present driving force behind oil prices, now back at a nine-month high, while gold seems to have turned a corner with the highly significant changes in the US bond market. But let us not forget that a real spike in both the oil and gold price is very likely to require a particular constellation of geopolitics.
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